Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Plan ahead—no, farther ahead

The thing that strikes one most about the Italian MOSE project—apart from its massive scale and futuristic engineering—is the fact that Venetian officials have been planning it since 1966. That's 47 years! How many public works projects do you know that have planning horizons on that scale? Not many, I bet. And yet, if the lessons of Venice are any guide, maybe that is what is required to accomplish feats like this. Epic problems like coastal flooding appear to need epic planning.

Just how big is the scope of the MOSE project? The following graphic begins to give you some idea.

As you can see, the Venetian Lagoon—where Venice is located—is fed by three inlets which connect to the Adriatic Sea. The flow of water through the inlets is tidal. And during especially high tides and major storms, the sea inundates the lagoon and floods Venice.

So the planners behind MOSE (an acronym for MOdulo Sperimentale Elettromeccanico—and also a play on the biblical Moses, tamer of the Red Sea) decided to attack the problem at its source. They would design a flood gate mechanism to regulate the flow of water through those inlets.

And we're not talking some rudimentary channel lock here. No, the engineers devised an amazingly elegant system which met the requirements of a broad constituency.

For starters, the flood gate had to be invisible when not in use—which is most of the time—to placate the sensibilities of residents and tourists. So the engineers anchored it to the sea floor. They designed it so it could be raised and lowered at will, like the flaps on the wings of a plane. This also satisfied the shipping trade whose shipping lanes would not be hampered by unwanted mechanical intrusions.

But as you can well imagine, a project this ambitious is not cheap. The current projected cost for the MOSE project (expected to be complete in 2014) is $6.7 billion. That's a lot of money. To put that amount in some perspective, that's roughly six times the $1.1 billion 2012 budget for the city of Norfolk.

The high cost of solutions like MOSE is often cited as a reason for not doing them. How can we possibly afford such a thing? The answer is you have to plan for it. Flood gates which stop the sea are not short term fixes, like fortifying barriers or raising city streets. These are unprecedented measures—to address unprecedented climate change. We need epic planning now. Fortunately, there are officials in the city of Norfolk who get that and are beginning to think big.